Int J Performability Eng ›› 2020, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (9): 1321-1331.doi: 10.23940/ijpe.20.09.p1.13211331

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Using Interpretive Structural Modelling, Fuzzy Analytical Network Process, and Evidential Reasoning to Estimate Fire Risk Onboard Ships

Sunay P. Paia,* and Rajesh S. Prabhu Gaonkarb   

  1. aMechanical Engineering Department, Goa College of Engineering (Affiliated to Goa University), Farmagudi, Ponda, Goa, 403401, India;
    bIndian Institute of Technology, Farmagudi, Ponda, Goa (IIT Goa), 403401, India
  • Submitted on ; Revised on ; Accepted on
  • Contact: * E-mail address:

Abstract: Fires onboard ships cause danger to property, persons, and the surrounding environment. Within a ship, there is a large amount of liquid fuel, lubricating material, electrical equipment, and other auxiliary machineries. During navigation, an occurrence of a fire on a ship can create a high-risk situation that may cause harm or even deaths to passengers and considerable damage to the ship, its structure, and equipment. In this research, an integrated model is constructed to assess the fire risk onboard ships. Interpretive structural modelling (ISM), fuzzy analytical network process (FANP), and the evidential reasoning (ER) approach are incorporated in the model. This study lists representative factors and examined the interrelationships among them. Experts from the marine field are requested to provide their expertise and assess the importance of the factors and various features of the risk assessment. An illustrative example of fire risk analysis onboard a ship is shown using the proposed approach.

Key words: interpretive structural modelling, fuzzy analytical network process, evidential reasoning, fire risk